“Using difference-in-differences and employer policies as quasi-experimental variation, we estimate precise zeros: AI chatbots have had no significant impact on earnings or recorded hours in any occupation, with confidence intervals ruling out effects larger than 1%.”
A study of about 25,000 Danish workers found AI chatbots had no measurable effect on earnings or hours. Users saved 2.8% of their work time on average. Only 3 to 7% of that showed up as pay. Controlled experiments promised 15 to 50%.