“But in that “Seven Deadly Sins” article, I said that one of the deadly sins was how we humans mistake performance for competence.”
Rodney Brooks ran MIT’s AI lab until 2007 and does not see AGI coming out of GPT-4. A person who labels a Frisbee photo knows you can’t eat a Frisbee. A language model gives the label and then falls apart when you poke it. He uses LLMs for arcane code and rates them better than a search engine. That is the honest ceiling, and it is a long way from the pitch decks.